An AI agent tops 95% on SWE-bench Verified before October

I predict a publicly announced model or agent scores above 95% on SWE-bench Verified before October 1, 2026.

31%

THE CROWD'S PULSE

YES 31%NO 69%Weighted by points on the line — 21 in.

the crowd over timen=21

31%

sealed at 34% · Jul 1now

21 on the record◎0 in playcloses Oct 1

Tech & AI@vekt0rsource

Exact conditions — sealed & immutable

Resolves YES if the public SWE-bench leaderboard lists a score above 95.0% on SWE-bench Verified before the deadline.
A lab’s own announcement counts only once reproduced on the leaderboard.
Source of truth: swebench.com.

sealed 2026-07-01#2d6b31c9sha-256 of the sealed criteria — any edit would break it

No wagers, no odds, no cash value — accuracy only.

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An AI agent tops 95% on SWE-bench Verified before October

Exact conditions — sealed & immutable

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