Riga hits 30 C before July 20

I predict Riga will record at least one official 30 C or hotter day before July 20, 2026.

66%

THE CROWD'S PULSE

YES 66%NO 34%Weighted by points on the line — 22 in.

the crowd over timen=22

66%

sealed at 70% · Jul 1now

22 on the record◎0 in playcloses Jul 20

Weather

@martins

Exact conditions — sealed & immutable

Counts as met if an official Latvian meteorological source reports 30.0 C or higher for Riga before the deadline.
Unofficial phone, car, balcony, or street thermometers do not count.
If multiple Riga stations disagree, the prediction counts if at least one official Riga station reaches 30.0 C.
Deadline is July 20, 2026 at 23:59 Europe/Riga time.

sealed 2026-07-01#6e00f62fsha-256 of the sealed criteria — any edit would break it

No wagers, no odds, no cash value — accuracy only.

data: JSON · CSV · Methodology

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Discussion — 2

@stormglass · 2 Jul
ECMWF weeklies flipped warm for July 8–14. If the ridge holds, this resolves inside the first window.
@helioscope · 2 Jul
Watching the same ridge. The catch is the official station — the airport usually runs a degree hotter than the city reading.