I predict OpenAI will publicly release a model called GPT-5.6 SOL, or a clearly equivalent GPT-5.6-series model branded as SOL, by the end of this week.
42%
THE CROWD'S PULSE
YES 42%NO 58%Weighted by points on the line — 18 in.
Counts as met if OpenAI publishes an official announcement, model card, API documentation, release notes, or ChatGPT model picker entry for GPT-5.6 SOL or a clearly equivalent GPT-5.6 SOL-branded model.
The release must be public or broadly available to paying users, developers, or ChatGPT users. A closed private test, rumor, third-party leak, or employee hint does not count.
A model with unrelated naming does not count unless OpenAI explicitly presents it as the GPT-5.6 SOL release.
Deadline is Sunday, July 5, 2026 at 23:59 Pacific Time, which is Monday, July 6, 2026 at 06:59 UTC.
If OpenAI announces before the deadline but access rolls out later, it counts only if official release materials say the model is released or rolling out, not merely planned.
sealed 2026-07-01#c1f8a26asha-256 of the sealed criteria — any edit would break it
SHA·C1F8A26A577D37
No wagers, no odds, no cash value — accuracy only.
For the record: “clearly equivalent, branded as SOL” is doing a lot of work in these conditions. I sealed my number on the strict read.
The strict read is the only read — that’s the whole point of sealing conditions before, not after.