ON THE RECORD · SEALED
SealedAUG 14 2026 · 23:59 UTC

GPT-5.6 outscores Fable 5 on SWE-bench Verified at launch

At GPT-5.6’s public launch, its officially reported SWE-bench Verified score is higher than Fable 5’s.

44%
THE CROWD'S PULSEYES 44%NO 56%Weighted by points on the line — 19 in.
the crowd over timen=19
44%
sealed at 47% · Jul 3now
19 on the record0 in playcloses Aug 14

Exact conditions — sealed & immutable

  • Resolves YES if OpenAI’s officially reported SWE-bench Verified score for GPT-5.6 exceeds Anthropic’s reported Fable 5 score, measured at GPT-5.6’s launch.
  • Both numbers must come from the vendors’ own model cards / announcements — not third-party runs.
  • Voids if GPT-5.6 does not launch, or no official SWE-bench Verified number is published for it, before 2026-08-15.
  • Source of truth: the official model cards of GPT-5.6 and Fable 5.
sealed 2026-07-03#ffe5392bsha-256 of the sealed criteria — any edit would break it

No wagers, no odds, no cash value — accuracy only.

data: JSON · CSV · Methodology

</> Embed this call on your site

Discussion0