Reform Party polls under 10% in October 2026

The Reform Party polls below 10.0% in the Norstat weekly party-support rating published closest to 1 October 2026.

37%

THE CROWD'S PULSE

YES 37%NO 63%Weighted by points on the line — 18 in.

the crowd over timen=18

37%

sealed at 45% · Jul 4now

18 on the record◎0 in playcloses Oct 9

Politics

@martinssource

Exact conditions — sealed & immutable

Resolves YES if the Reform Party (Reformierakond) support figure is strictly below 10.0% in the single Norstat weekly rating dated nearest 1 October 2026.
Exactly 10.0% or higher counts NO; four-week rolling averages do NOT count, only the single weekly figure.
If Norstat publishes no weekly rating within two weeks of 1 October 2026, resolves VOID.
Source of truth: the Norstat weekly party rating at reitingud.ee.

sealed 2026-07-04#1222985csha-256 of the sealed criteria — any edit would break it

No wagers, no odds, no cash value — accuracy only.

data: JSON · CSV · Methodology

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Reform Party polls under 10% in October 2026

Exact conditions — sealed & immutable

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