ON THE RECORD · SEALED
SealedDEC 31 2026 · 23:59 UTC

Estonia's 2027 budget sets defence at 5% of GDP

Estonia's 2027 state budget, as adopted by the Riigikogu, allocates at least 5% of GDP to national defence.

87%
THE CROWD'S PULSEYES 87%NO 13%Weighted by points on the line — 24 in.
the crowd over timen=24
87%
sealed at 80% · Jul 4now
24 on the record0 in playcloses Dec 31

Exact conditions — sealed & immutable

  • Resolves YES if the 2027 state budget passed by the Riigikogu sets national-defence spending at 5.0% of GDP or more (in line with the government's KILP programme).
  • A draft budget, coalition agreement or ministerial statement alone does NOT count; the budget must be formally adopted.
  • If the 2027 state budget has not been adopted by the Riigikogu before 31 December 2026, resolves VOID.
  • Source of truth: the 2027 State Budget Act as adopted by the Riigikogu (riigikogu.ee).
sealed 2026-07-04#a91c35e6sha-256 of the sealed criteria — any edit would break it

No wagers, no odds, no cash value — accuracy only.

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