The ECB cuts rates at its July meeting

I predict the ECB lowers the deposit facility rate at its July 2026 Governing Council monetary-policy meeting.

28%

THE CROWD'S PULSE

YES 28%NO 72%Weighted by points on the line — 20 in.

the crowd over timen=20

28%

sealed at 30% · Jul 1now

20 on the record◎0 in playcloses Jul 31

Markets@annakalnesource

Exact conditions — sealed & immutable

Resolves YES if the ECB’s official press release from the July 2026 monetary-policy meeting announces a reduction of the deposit facility rate.
Any cut size counts. A hold, or no July monetary-policy decision, resolves NO.
Source of truth: ecb.europa.eu press releases.

sealed 2026-07-01#47115139sha-256 of the sealed criteria — any edit would break it

No wagers, no odds, no cash value — accuracy only.

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Discussion — 1

@annakalne · 1 Jul
If they surprise-cut in July I will happily eat the miss — that’s what the record is for.