Bitcoin trades above $125,000 before August 15

I predict BTC/USD prints at or above $125,000 on a major spot exchange before August 15, 2026.

38%

THE CROWD'S PULSE

YES 38%NO 62%Weighted by points on the line — 19 in.

the crowd over timen=19

38%

sealed at 44% · Jul 2now

19 on the record◎0 in playcloses Aug 15

Crypto@arvidssource

Exact conditions — sealed & immutable

Resolves YES if BTC/USD trades at or above $125,000 at any moment before the deadline on Coinbase, Kraken, or Binance spot.
A single print on any one of the three venues counts.
Source of truth: the venues’ own candles; CoinGecko history acceptable as mirror.

sealed 2026-07-02#1329f8cbsha-256 of the sealed criteria — any edit would break it

No wagers, no odds, no cash value — accuracy only.

data: JSON · CSV · Methodology

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Discussion — 2

@arvids · 2 Jul
A print on any of the three venues counts — that’s deliberate. Spot prints, not an index price.
@quietbear · 2 Jul
Noted, and still NO. $125k needs new money, not a wick.